Abstract:

The simulation is based on a Lagrangian particle tracker with random walk diffusion model. Input consists of latitude and longitude positions of parcels in the oil contaminated area, wind, current, and a large array of random numbers. In addition, new parcels are released at the location of the damaged Macondo rig. Twenty-five parcels are released at each position, and when combined with the diffusion coefficient (set to 10m2/s) results in a natural spread of the parcels with time. The parcel location is based on NASA MODIS satellite imagery, SAR imagery and NOAA oil trajectory maps. The parcels are advected at 80% of the ocean current speed and at 3% of the wind speed. Bilinear interpolation is applied at each timestep to determine the currents and winds at each parcel position. The pseudo-random numbers are uniformly distributed between 0 and 1 and generated by the efficient Mersenne Twister algorithm. The 10-m wind and near-surface ocean currents are provided from an operational, data assimilating forecast system run by the Naval Oceanographic Office called the Navy Coastal Ocean Model (NCOM) in the Intra-Americas Sea domain which covers the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean, interpolated to a 3-km Cartesian grid. NCOM assimilates water temperature, salinity analyses, and satellite altimeter data, and the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Prediction System (COAMPS) provides the atmospheric forcing. An examination of NCOM data and the oil spill simulation, as well as in-situ data from buoys, weather reanalysis maps, tide gauge data, scatterometer data, and HF radar show that two weather systems altered the currents and water levels such that oil was pushed into the western Mississippi Sound and the Rigolets. An easterly wind fetch from intensifying Hurricane Alex provided the first inland push, followed by a westward-drifting non-tropical low which had formed off the western edge of a Gulf cold front. In both cases, a generally weak pressure gradient was replaced by strong easterly winds which not only switched westerly coastal currents to an easterly direction, but also increased inland water levels by 0.6-0.8 m. These results show that cyclones located west of the oil spill can dramatically alter oil transport. We request that you acknowledge the Northern Gulf Institute as the source of this information.

Suggested Citation:

Fitzpatrick, Patrick and Yee Lau. 2014. Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill Simulation from May 26 to July 31, 2010, Northern Gulf Institute, MSU, MS. Distributed by: GRIIDC, Harte Research Institute, Texas A&M University–Corpus Christi. doi:10.7266/N7JS9NDZ

Publications:

Zaron, E. D., Fitzpatrick, P. J., Cross, S. L., Harding, J. M., Bub, F. L., Wiggert, J. D., … Mooers, C. N. K. (2015). Initial evaluations of a Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean ocean forecast system in the context of the Deepwater Horizon disaster. Front. Earth Sci., 9(4), 605–636. doi:10.1007/s11707-014-0508-x

Purpose:

The Deepwater Horizon oil spill impacted the Mississippi River Delta, Barataria Bay, the barrier islands east of Louisiana, and the Alabama and Florida coast for an extended period of time from May through July. However, the Rigolets and western Mississippi coast were impacted for a briefer period from late June to early July. An important component to understanding the oil transport is to distinguish the influences behind this apex moment. A simulation was conducted for the period May 25 to July 31, 2010 to understand this inland transport.

Data Parameters and Units:

Longitude (decimal degrees), Latitude (decimal degrees), Near Surface Oil Concentration (C/CO ratio).

Methods:

Process description: 1. Longitude, latitude, surface water current and surface wind data were obtained from NCOM's AMSEAS data. 2. The initial oil spill area was defined based on NASA imagery and NOAA's trajectory map. 3. The in-house developed Lagrangian particle tracker with random walk diffusion model was run for the studied time period.

Error Analysis:

Data Quality information: Logical_Consistency_Report: No logical inconsistencies are known to exist in this dataset.

Provenance and Historical References:

Source contribution: provided ground condition temperature, salinity, east and north components of current, and surface elevation. Source Originator: Naval Oceanographic Office (NAVOCEANO) Publication_Date: Unpublished material Title: Navy Coastal Ocean Model (NCOM) data containing temperature, salinity, currents, and sea surface height for Region 1 Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: raster digital data Publisher: Unpublished Online_Linkage: http://edac-dap3.northerngulfinstitute.org/thredds/catalog/AmSeas/catalog.html Type_of_Source_Media: Online digital data Source_Citation_Abbreviation: NCOM Complete dataset. Source_Contribution: provided temperature, salinity, east and north components of current and surface elevation.

Individual Files: